Will "human" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 70% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

49 of 1492 launches in the last hour referenced "human" (18 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 3.47×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.34235735785147897,
      "momentum": 1.2447575888515823,
      "diversity": -0.4591836734693877
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6959173308287193
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "human",
    "rank60": 9,
    "share15": 0.11511627906976744,
    "share60": 0.03315472203616879,
    "total15": 429,
    "total60": 1492,
    "momentum": 3.472093023255814,
    "diversity": 0.3673469387755102,
    "launches15": 49,
    "launches60": 49,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 18
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 178,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9993580555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9993580555555556
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6959173308287193
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.003940886699507389,
  "shareRatio": 0.12648394332293889,
  "totalAfter": 2030,
  "shareBefore": 0.03277591973244147,
  "totalBefore": 1495,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 8,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 49
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity