Will "pepe" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 66% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

74 of 1441 launches in the last hour referenced "pepe" (45 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 2.06×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.40419407711551036,
      "momentum": 0.7203940100933103,
      "diversity": -0.17027027027027025
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6579828121450719
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "pepe",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.10618279569892473,
    "share60": 0.05166435506241331,
    "total15": 371,
    "total60": 1441,
    "momentum": 2.0552428375550265,
    "diversity": 0.6081081081081081,
    "launches15": 39,
    "launches60": 74,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 45
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 196,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9940405555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9940405555555556
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6579828121450719
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.026967528893780957,
  "shareRatio": 0.5232771621533014,
  "totalAfter": 1817,
  "shareBefore": 0.05172413793103448,
  "totalBefore": 1450,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 49,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 75
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity