Will "ram" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 14% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

21 of 1582 launches in the last hour referenced "ram" (15 distinct creators, rank #13). Last 15m momentum 0.10×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.21526267879339842,
      "momentum": -2.349960425277381,
      "diversity": -0.04285714285714284
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.13892009149969267
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "ram",
    "rank60": 13,
    "share15": 0.0012953367875647669,
    "share60": 0.013581806696146557,
    "total15": 385,
    "total60": 1582,
    "momentum": 0.0953729364983733,
    "diversity": 0.7142857142857143,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 21,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 15
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 199,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9966077777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9994346296296296
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.13892009149969267
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00048488766769031843,
  "shareRatio": 0.1426016093134737,
  "totalAfter": 12374,
  "shareBefore": 0.0036213786213786215,
  "totalBefore": 8008,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 6,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 29
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity