Will "ram" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 31% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

21 of 1662 launches in the last hour referenced "ram" (15 distinct creators, rank #18). Last 15m momentum 0.30×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.21526267879339842,
      "momentum": -1.196851900420252,
      "diversity": -0.04285714285714284
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.30741695148172304
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "ram",
    "rank60": 18,
    "share15": 0.00390625,
    "share60": 0.012928442573662057,
    "total15": 383,
    "total60": 1662,
    "momentum": 0.3021438953488372,
    "diversity": 0.7142857142857143,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 21,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 15
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 202,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9999277777777777,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999969907407408
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.30741695148172304
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0002950856883441153,
  "shareRatio": 0.3030409976745139,
  "totalAfter": 44055,
  "shareBefore": 0.00100032619332391,
  "totalBefore": 45985,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 13,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 46
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity