Will "incognito69420" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 59% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

67 of 1402 launches in the last hour referenced "incognito69420" (38 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 3.08×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3892882060435298,
      "momentum": 1.1243582457242443,
      "diversity": -0.21940298507462688
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5859194331800128
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "incognito69420",
    "rank60": 3,
    "share15": 0.1480978260869565,
    "share60": 0.0481111903064861,
    "total15": 367,
    "total60": 1402,
    "momentum": 3.078240740740741,
    "diversity": 0.5671641791044776,
    "launches15": 54,
    "launches60": 67,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 38
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 192,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9966022222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998584259259259
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5859194331800128
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.000976260209062552,
  "shareRatio": 0.6864148733713951,
  "totalAfter": 41997,
  "shareBefore": 0.0014289370414605016,
  "totalBefore": 46888,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 41,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 67
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity