Will "incognito" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 58% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

79 of 1402 launches in the last hour referenced "incognito" (44 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 2.95×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.41400149100493816,
      "momentum": 1.081565295085716,
      "diversity": -0.23164556962025318
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.582236346417146
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "incognito",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.1671195652173913,
    "share60": 0.05666429080541696,
    "total15": 367,
    "total60": 1402,
    "momentum": 2.9492924528301887,
    "diversity": 0.5569620253164557,
    "launches15": 61,
    "launches60": 79,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 44
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 192,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9966022222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998584259259259
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.582236346417146
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.002643045931852275,
  "shareRatio": 1.546398246115831,
  "totalAfter": 41997,
  "shareBefore": 0.0017061934823408974,
  "totalBefore": 46888,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 111,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 80
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity