Will "run" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 51% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

7 of 1402 launches in the last hour referenced "run" (3 distinct creators, rank #121). Last 15m momentum 2.29×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.050470835493181924,
      "momentum": 0.8274595181675394,
      "diversity": -0.38571428571428573
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5111359700494318
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "run",
    "rank60": 121,
    "share15": 0.012228260869565218,
    "share60": 0.005345687811831789,
    "total15": 367,
    "total60": 1402,
    "momentum": 2.2875,
    "diversity": 0.42857142857142855,
    "launches15": 4,
    "launches60": 7,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 3
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 192,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9966022222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9994337037037037
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5111359700494318
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.004998684556695606,
  "shareRatio": 1.1286131992432138,
  "totalAfter": 7602,
  "shareBefore": 0.004437869822485207,
  "totalBefore": 10140,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 38,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 45
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity