Will "full" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 43% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

25 of 1386 launches in the last hour referenced "full" (4 distinct creators, rank #12). Last 15m momentum 1.69×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.24141568686511503,
      "momentum": 0.5245493298309101,
      "diversity": -0.708
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.43265731939023133
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "full",
    "rank60": 12,
    "share15": 0.03106508875739645,
    "share60": 0.018385003604902667,
    "total15": 337,
    "total60": 1386,
    "momentum": 1.689697180647407,
    "diversity": 0.16,
    "launches15": 10,
    "launches60": 25,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 226,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9985405555555555,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999391898148148
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.43265731939023133
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.003288924902881384,
  "shareRatio": 0.9775255388187037,
  "totalAfter": 41959,
  "shareBefore": 0.003366070857921984,
  "totalBefore": 46939,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 138,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 158
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity