Will "crypto" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 67% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

32 of 1386 launches in the last hour referenced "crypto" (22 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 3.35×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.27844469855484394,
      "momentum": 1.2077571684882975,
      "diversity": -0.075
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6654865428084226
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "crypto",
    "rank60": 7,
    "share15": 0.07840236686390532,
    "share60": 0.02343186733958183,
    "total15": 337,
    "total60": 1386,
    "momentum": 3.3459717796995903,
    "diversity": 0.6875,
    "launches15": 26,
    "launches60": 32,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 22
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 226,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9985405555555555,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997567592592592
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6654865428084226
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.009039696056596358,
  "shareRatio": 0.7985911536442432,
  "totalAfter": 7633,
  "shareBefore": 0.011357724986994971,
  "totalBefore": 11534,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 69,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 131
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity