Will "tesselai" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 62% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

44 of 2403 launches in the last hour referenced "tesselai" (22 distinct creators, rank #13). Last 15m momentum 4.53×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.32621275822262413,
      "momentum": 1.5101272744131593,
      "diversity": -0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6149505324414688
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "tesselai",
    "rank60": 13,
    "share15": 0.08380414312617702,
    "share60": 0.0185108153078203,
    "total15": 530,
    "total60": 2403,
    "momentum": 4.527306967984934,
    "diversity": 0.5,
    "launches15": 44,
    "launches60": 44,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 22
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 428,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9974291666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998928819444445
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6149505324414688
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.001032451838468217,
  "shareRatio": 0.7567296377986698,
  "totalAfter": 42617,
  "shareBefore": 0.0013696389876936914,
  "totalBefore": 48918,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 44,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 67
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity