Will "museum" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 14% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

47 of 2735 launches in the last hour referenced "museum" (27 distinct creators, rank #16). Last 15m momentum 0.04×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3361064533913937,
      "momentum": -3.1088749296538722,
      "diversity": -0.21063829787234037
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.14286401019803374
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "museum",
    "rank60": 16,
    "share15": 0.0007751937984496124,
    "share60": 0.017361111111111112,
    "total15": 644,
    "total60": 2735,
    "momentum": 0.044651162790697675,
    "diversity": 0.574468085106383,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 47,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 27
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 375,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.998525,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999385416666666
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.14286401019803374
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0000231476123237888,
  "shareRatio": 0.029822290835971765,
  "totalAfter": 43201,
  "shareBefore": 0.001154149877498127,
  "totalBefore": 49387,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 1,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 57
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity