Will "wei" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 22% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

59 of 2735 launches in the last hour referenced "wei" (40 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 0.11×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3702149297207429,
      "momentum": -2.235509242496751,
      "diversity": -0.08644067796610173
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.2182544883245979
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "wei",
    "rank60": 11,
    "share15": 0.002325581395348837,
    "share60": 0.021747076023391813,
    "total15": 644,
    "total60": 2735,
    "momentum": 0.106937658784444,
    "diversity": 0.6779661016949152,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 59,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 40
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 375,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.998525,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999385416666666
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.2182544883245979
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0001851808985903104,
  "shareRatio": 0.15302514064127246,
  "totalAfter": 43201,
  "shareBefore": 0.0012756393382874036,
  "totalBefore": 49387,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 8,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 63
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity