Will "uxento" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 42% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

96 of 2735 launches in the last hour referenced "uxento" (17 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 1.21×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.44323654185506034,
      "momentum": 0.18964495827425382,
      "diversity": -0.6874999999999999
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4162387784131324
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "uxento",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.04263565891472868,
    "share60": 0.03527046783625731,
    "total15": 644,
    "total60": 2735,
    "momentum": 1.2088203397999757,
    "diversity": 0.17708333333333334,
    "launches15": 27,
    "launches60": 96,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 17
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 375,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.998525,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997541666666667
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4162387784131324
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.029103964555801696,
  "shareRatio": 0.8144572081442234,
  "totalAfter": 13091,
  "shareBefore": 0.035748606573130885,
  "totalBefore": 15609,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 381,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 558
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity