Will "pepper" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 59% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

79 of 2567 launches in the last hour referenced "pepper" (5 distinct creators, rank #13). Last 15m momentum 3.91×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.41400149100493816,
      "momentum": 1.3623741225881967,
      "diversity": -0.8240506329113924
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5906438096033676
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "pepper",
    "rank60": 13,
    "share15": 0.12090483619344773,
    "share60": 0.030957943925233645,
    "total15": 640,
    "total60": 2567,
    "momentum": 3.905454331380802,
    "diversity": 0.06329113924050633,
    "launches15": 77,
    "launches60": 79,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 412,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9960297222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9993382870370371
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5906438096033676
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.003593761230503845,
  "shareRatio": 0.2870837046619712,
  "totalAfter": 13913,
  "shareBefore": 0.01260957518543493,
  "totalBefore": 14830,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 50,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 187
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity