Will "treasury" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 54% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

6 of 2649 launches in the last hour referenced "treasury" (6 distinct creators, rank #348). Last 15m momentum 1.75×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.027348233519093188,
      "momentum": 0.5620527171009202,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.536112130471515
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "treasury",
    "rank60": 348,
    "share15": 0.004302925989672977,
    "share60": 0.0024528301886792454,
    "total15": 580,
    "total60": 2649,
    "momentum": 1.754269826558983,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 6,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 6
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 423,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9990855555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999618981481482
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.536112130471515
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0007120543917677325,
  "shareRatio": 0.7065161600341304,
  "totalAfter": 43536,
  "shareBefore": 0.0010139519792342635,
  "totalBefore": 49312,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 31,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 50
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity