Will "money" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 31% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

116 of 2649 launches in the last hour referenced "money" (9 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 0.84×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.47162284180083963,
      "momentum": -0.1722741757437816,
      "diversity": -0.8068965517241379
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.30841327240352534
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "money",
    "rank60": 4,
    "share15": 0.03700516351118761,
    "share60": 0.0439622641509434,
    "total15": 580,
    "total60": 2649,
    "momentum": 0.8417483545463275,
    "diversity": 0.07758620689655173,
    "launches15": 21,
    "launches60": 116,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 9
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 423,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9990855555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9990855555555556
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.30841327240352534
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.04862174578866769,
  "shareRatio": 1.1124305839570718,
  "totalAfter": 2612,
  "shareBefore": 0.043691148775894535,
  "totalBefore": 2655,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 127,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 116
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity